Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 32

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 9 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, <1 km from here.

This alert expired on 12 September 2026 at 14:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 30th strongest of the 43 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 7 May 2026. The last comparable one was on 11 September 2026. 6 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued September 12 at 8:47AM CDT until September 12 at 9:45AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

An estimated 77,403 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 7 May 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100, at 82 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)32 / 100
Our confidence82%
Coordinates30.0853, -86.3759
Nearest CitySanta Rosa Beach (38 km)
Population Exposed77.4K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-12T13:47:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.ce659a792e7a1dcc320e82a5235179674d606588.001.1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
18
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescCoastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Okaloosa-Walton County Line to Pensacola FL out 20 NM; Waters from Okaloosa-Walton County Line to Pensacola FL from 20 to 60 NM; St. Andrews Bay Waterways; Coastal waters from Okaloosa-Walton County Line to Mexico Beach out 20 NM; Coastal Waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola out 20 NM; Waters from Okaloosa-Walton County Line to Mexico Beach from 20 to 60 NM
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued September 12 at 8:47AM CDT until September 12 at 9:45AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL
Expires2026-09-12T09:45:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Mobile AL
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ce659a792e7a1dcc320e82a5235179674d606588.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6357bd9e5e506ff882785d9f6cb0371061265ae3.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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